Frost Dates by ZIP Code: When Is My Last Frost?

Last spring and first fall frost for your ZIP at 10%, 30%, 50% and 90% odds, plus the 28°F hard-freeze dates, from the NOAA station nearest you, with its distance, elevation and your USDA zone.

Look up your frost dates

Stored only on this device.
Enter your ZIP to see your datesResults appear here and stay on this page; they never get their own URL.
Key takeaways
Checked Oct 4, 2026
  1. 1The average (50%) last frost date still brings a later frost in one year out of two.
  2. 2The safer 10% date falls a median 16 days later across 39,232 US ZIP codes.
  3. 3Spring frost dates move a lot: the 90%-to-10% window spans a median 31 days.
  4. 4Dates come from the NOAA station nearest your ZIP, a median 7 miles away. Adjust a few days for low or open ground.

Your average last spring frost date is the day after which a 32°F night happens in only half of years. The safer date for tender plants comes about two weeks later: across 39,232 US ZIP codes, the 10% date falls a median 16 days after the average one.

How to read your frost dates

Every result above shows four levels of odds for spring and fall, taken from NOAA’s 1991–2020 climate normals for the weather station nearest your ZIP code.1 Spring dates are the last 32°F night; fall dates are the first.

Table 1. What each probability level means
LevelSpring (last frost)Fall (first frost)Use it for
90%Frost still comes after this date in 9 years out of 10Frost has already come by this date in 9 years out of 10Shows how early the frost-free season can start in a mild year
50% (median)Half of years have frost after itHalf of years have frost before itHardy crops, timing rules that cite the “average” date
30%3-in-10 chance of a later frost3-in-10 chance of an earlier frostThe level many frost calculators show by default
10%Only a 1-in-10 chance of a later frostOnly a 1-in-10 chance of an earlier frostTender transplants and the last safe day for fall jobs

The University of Maryland Extension explains the same logic with a Frederick, Maryland, example: a 32°F night is still likely after March 29 (90% odds) but unlikely after April 19 (10%), which it calls the “safer” planting date.2

How much frost dates move from year to year

An average frost date hides a wide window. We measured it for every ZIP code with full NOAA odds:

Table 2. How wide the frost window is across 39,232 US ZIP codes (NOAA 1991–2020)
MeasureMedianMiddle half of ZIP codes
Spring window, 90% to 10% date31 days28–35 days
Fall window, 10% to 90% date28 days25–30 days
Safer 10% date after the median last frost16 days14–19 days
Last 32°F night after the last 28°F hard freeze12 days—
First 28°F hard freeze after the first 32°F night (fall)11 days10–13 days
Bar chart showing the 10% last-frost date falls a median 16 days after the average date across US ZIP codes
In most ZIP codes, the safer 10% date comes 14 to 19 days after the median last frost.
Range chart of last spring frost windows at 90%, 50% and 10% odds for 14 US cities, from Dallas to Bismarck
Fourteen cities, three odds each: the window from 90% to 10% runs about two to five weeks.

In practice: planting tender crops on the average date means a frost-damage gamble in one year out of two. Waiting about two more weeks cuts the odds to one in ten. For tomatoes, warm nights matter as much as frost; our guide on when to plant tomatoes shows that most ZIP codes should wait even longer.

Frost, freeze and hard freeze

The dates here use a 32°F air temperature, the standard freeze threshold in NOAA’s normals. Light frost can form on plants on clear, calm nights even when the official reading stays a few degrees above freezing, which is why the National Weather Service office in Memphis publishes separate “frost” dates at 36°F alongside its 32°F freeze dates.3 The 28°F hard freeze, which ends the season for most hardy plants, comes a median 11 days after the first 32°F night in fall (Table 2). It is the date our overseeding deadline counts back from, and our frost vs. freeze guide explains all three thresholds and the weather alerts for each.

Regional note. Frost is rare in some ZIP codes. Where a 32°F night happens in fewer than half of years at the nearest station, such as Phoenix and Miami, an “average” frost date isn’t meaningful, so the lookup shows how often frost occurs instead.

Where the numbers come from

Each ZIP code is matched to the nearest NOAA station with freeze statistics. The median distance is 7 miles, and 72% of ZIP codes are within 10 miles of their station. The result names the station and shows how far it is from your ZIP code. If the nearest station is more than 50 miles away, we don’t publish a date. Our methodology page lists every rule.

The likelihood of frost will vary between landscapes in the same town

Low spots where cold air pools, open ground away from buildings, and higher elevation all run colder than the station; south-facing walls and city centers run warmer. Treat your dates as a starting point and adjust a few days for your yard.

Close-up photo of white frost crystals on lawn grass blades at sunrise
A clear, calm night can frost grass even when the thermometer reads just above freezing.

Use your dates

Your saved ZIP code fills in the dates on every guide on this site. Start with the garden guides for planting by frost date (seed starting counts back from the day each crop goes outside; garlic and tulip bulbs both go in around your first fall frost), our guide to when to cover plants for frost, the lawn guides for fall seeding and feeding, or the climate section for the data behind them.

Frequently asked questions

Enter your ZIP code above. You get the median (50%) date and the safer 10% date from the NOAA weather station nearest you, with how far it is from your ZIP code, so you can judge how well it matches your yard.

Sources

  1. 1.
    U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020. NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, 2021. Used for: frost and freeze probabilities for every ZIP code Back to text
  2. 2.
    Spring Frost or Freeze Dates in Maryland. University of Maryland Extension, 2024. Used for: reading frost probabilities, microclimate variation Back to text
  3. 3.
    "Frost" and Freeze Dates. National Weather Service, Memphis office, 2021. Used for: 36°F frost vs 32°F freeze thresholds Back to text
Behind this tool

How this page was made

  • Built by the Data & Methodology Desk.
  • Data: frost and hard-freeze probabilities for the NOAA station nearest each ZIP code (NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020); USDA hardiness zones from the PRISM Climate Group’s 2023 ZIP-code table. Every rule is on our methodology page.
  • AI use: AI tools help us research, draft and check this page. The calculator runs our own code; every figure in the text is checked against the source cited for it.
  • Spotted an error? Tell us. The form opens with this page’s address filled in.

Change log

  • Oct 4, 2026The lookup now also shows the median 28°F hard-freeze dates, the station’s elevation and your USDA hardiness zone (PRISM Climate Group 2023 ZIP-code table), and station names are spelled out (“St.”, “Field”, “Regional Airport”).
  • Oct 4, 2026Corrected the page text: the lookup shows each station’s distance, not its elevation or a 28°F hard-freeze date, so the summary, FAQ and method note no longer say it does; the 28°F gap now points to Table 2. Tested ZIP codes 43215, 55401, 85004 and 98101 against our NOAA file: all dates match.
  • Oct 4, 2026Fixed a misquote: the University of Maryland calls the 10% date the “safer” planting date; the words “represents a safer planting date” were ours, not theirs. The Frederick example now uses its numbers.
  • Oct 3, 2026Added a 14-city frost-window chart and the fall 32°F-to-28°F gap (11 days).
  • Oct 3, 2026Rebuilt from NOAA 1991–2020 normals for 41,488 ZIP codes (10/30/50/90% odds, 28°F hard freeze, station distance and elevation); added national frost-window analysis.
  • Oct 2, 2026Published.
D&MMaintained by Data & Methodology Desk · Last reviewed Oct 4, 2026 · Corrections
Was this lookup helpful?

More climate & zones tools

Newsletter

Seasonal reminders for your ZIP

Get a short email when it’s time to overseed, start seeds, open the pool or service your furnace — timed to your climate.

Remind me about
One or two emails a month. Unsubscribe anytime.